Info Blog
The United States Wants China To Retaliate With Their Own Tariffs
Friday, July 6, 2018
Should China retaliate with their own tariffs and engage in an all-out trade war, they will be playing right into the hands of the U.S. game plan.
How you could have caught the recent drop in the Euro using the Diffusion Aggregator
Monday, June 11, 2018
During March and April 2018, the Euro was still going very strong.
... on overlooked negative factors for the eurozone
Monday, July 27, 2015
This is an article I wrote back in September 2013 for FXStreet. In light of the recent Greece situation, it might still be of interest to some readers: An overwhelming amount of research has already been published in regard to the future of the Eurozone, ranging from blind optimism to blind pessimism and everything in between.
... on the eventual outcomes of central banks’ endless monetary expansion
Monday, July 27, 2015
This is an article I wrote back in September 2013 for FXStreet. It might still be of interest to some readers: In previous rounds of interest rate reductions, the cause-and-effect chains functioned in the following fashion.
How day traders can benefit by incorporating longer-term fundamentals
Monday, July 27, 2015
Day traders, traders holding positions on very short intraday time frames, usually spurn fundamentals analysis, swearing solely by studying the price action. At the same time, the lowest proportion of profitable traders is found in this group.
Why most traders lose and how to change that
Monday, July 27, 2015
Various statistics have time and again emerged indicating the shockingly low numbers of profitable traders.
Fundamental or technical analysis – perhaps something in between?
Monday, July 27, 2015
Financial market participants new to the game of investing or trading should think carefully about whether they approach the subject matter focusing either on fundamental analysis ortechnical analysis or an integrated approach.
Trading the US non-farm payrolls
Thursday, July 2, 2015
This monthly event brings traders from across the world together at the same time and place. It usually also represents a slaughterhouse experience for those new to trading.
ARIMA
Thursday, July 2, 2015
Once upon a time, I thought I could outsmart the economists by using a model that incorporates the data of past relationships between events and the outcomes of the most current events in order to figure out whether the outcome of the upcoming event will be better or worse than predicted.
A different way of thinking about markets
Thursday, July 2, 2015
Thorough testing of technical systems composed of indicators and patterns indicate that input variables need constant readjusting in order to optimize the profitability of the system.
P-R, P-E, P/R-A, E-A: what are they?
Thursday, July 2, 2015
These values represent the relationships between outcomes of events as ‘bits’ of information, which helps significantly with analysis when glancing over a group of filtered results.
What other markets can tell you about the one you are trading
Thursday, July 2, 2015
By looking at the combination of various markets, we are often able to better determine what market participants are discounting, whether it be economic activity, inflation, some political event etc.
Applying the Market Reaction Matrix
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Figure out what macroeconomic data is being discounted by market participants. What are market players focused on?
The Market Reaction Matrix: an alternative way of looking at macroeconomic data
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Whether or not you are doing thorough macroeconomic analysis in order to develop your strategic views, the Market Reaction Matrix is likely to be of benefit in your tactical maneuvering (trade determinations as well as position sizing).
The Reaction Correlation Coefficient (RCC)
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
The Reaction Correlation Coefficient (RCC) gives us hard evidence of how a currency related to a given event has traded at various time points (15, 30 and 60 minutes) after being released in relation to that event’s Forecast Error.
The Forecast Error Significance (FES)
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
The Forecast Error (FE) is self-explanatory – it simply represents the difference between the event’s actual and expected values.
More about Impact
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Usually forex calendars provide users with color-coded indicators representing impact intensities. These representations are most likely derived from subjective observation.
All about Economic Event Clusters (EEC’s)
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
In order to make our higher-level strategic analysis easier and align our thinking with the way that central bankers think, we need to be able to group related events together.
Currencies used in calculations
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
In order to be able to calculate the various statistics presented throughout this website, or, for example, gain a true sense of how a specific currency has responded to a certain event, one needs to aggregate all cross-currency pairs composed of the currency in question.
Help shape this project
Monday, June 29, 2015
The tools and ideas presented up to this point are the result of my interest in figuring out how financial markets work.
As a trader, have you ever wondered …
Monday, June 29, 2015
How much volatility an economic event such as, say, the US Advance GDP release, has generated in the past?
Overview of our tools
Monday, June 29, 2015
The site is divided into three main parts: Events, Series and the Blog.
What is brewing in our lab
Friday, June 26, 2015
EcoFinLab welcomes all financial macro traders (specifically forex traders).